Jon Sindreu is a Columnist at The Wall Street Journal's Heard on the Street. He focuses on finance and commodities, covering topics such as commodity trading, energy policy and regulation, and renewable energy. Jon has been featured in prominent outlets including Yahoo News, Financial News, and Reuters.
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Jon Sindreu's articles revolve around investment analysis, often citing data to support the covered topics. He frequently delves into finance and economy-related themes such as investing, central banks, and debt.
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[LONDON] Big problems invite simple fixes, and there is a risk that Western policymakers are starting to treat the yuan as a big problem.
US corporate profit margins jumped to 16% in the first quarter, lifting a market where valuation multiples are unchanged from late 2024. Earnings growth, underpinned by loose fiscal policy, is powering the rally. That makes it vulnerable if Uncle Sam narrows a big budget deficit.
Sterling rose 1% on reports Shabana Mahmood will be finance minister. Markets may see her as a safe pair of hands - no small matter post-Liz Truss. Yet Mahmood's economic nous is unproven, and post-Rachel Reeves her key job is the rapid execution of bold, growth-hiking policies.
Cutting the 5% VAT on electricity bills and picking John Healey as finance minister suggests Britain’s new prime minister is focused on the cost of living. It may calm turbulent UK politics, but without a clear plan for growth and investment the stability may prove short-lived.
Renewed conflict in Iran has left most investors unruffled – but only if they had spread their money across indexes. Single stock volatility has surged, widening the gap with S&P 500 volatility to a record 34 points. History suggests such divergence won’t last.
A 3% tumble and rebound for the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 in a few days underscores markets’ extreme dependence on the health of the chatbot boom and the credibility of US central bankers. Stagnant valuations elsewhere suggest investors see little choice but to embrace concentration.
German factory orders jumped 6.5% in June, and Ineos is snapping up undervalued chemicals groups. That suggests Western industry’s cyclical upswing isn’t just about AI and defence. Still, geopolitical fog and Chinese competition mean internal demand needs to get stronger.
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The EU thinks it will need almost €700 bln a year to fight climate change, yet plans from member states imply only €69 bln to adapt to it. This doesn't even include getting Europeans to embrace air conditioning. With heat deaths already above 25,000, the bill will be far higher.
Western government debt yields are near multi-decade highs. That reflects central banks keeping rates elevated, not market panic: at 160 bps, the gap between 30-year Treasuries and money market rates is near its historical median. Homeowners and firms may have to get used to it.
