Josh Inglis

Pete Crow-Armstrong got me to the window again last night for another winning night, and the big day to flip the record is happening this week, hopefully today, with a full slate of all-day MLB player props and dingers.

Projecting pitch counts is the most important thing in pitcher props, and I see Chris Bassitt and Sandy Alcantara getting deeper than projected, and Drew Rasmussen struggling to get 18 outs on his average pitch count.

Alec Burleson has a ton of checkmarks in his matchup today, including PvH and setting, while J-Rod is the right-handed bat I want vs. lefty Robert Gasser.

It's been a solid 5-1 SU run this week, and my MLB player props are once again trying to smash this short-slate Thursday.

Aaron Nola and Max Scherzer headline today's HR fade card, with plenty of +EV home run targets waiting in the opposing dugouts.

Tyler Glasnow should be handled carefully coming off the IL, Aaron Nola has hit this Under in 73% of his last 15 starts, and Jackson Jobe's leash is growing.

CJ Abrams is looking for No. 30 today and gets the best home run matchup on the board, while the Royals' offense gets a great setting and the Toronto bullpen for their dinger advantage today.

Grayson Rodriguez has a great schedule spot, Sean Burke's K prop is popping in the projections, and Bryan Woo's shoulder could mean a conservative pitch count.

The home run heat is flickering heading into an important Thursday MLB player prop slate, and although there are fewer home run props to look into, there are a handful of spots today that have to be on the card.

Jacob Misiorowski needs to think about the playoffs, Yoshinobu Yamamoto might be the best big-spot pitcher in baseball, and betting on the Giants' first-five Over is better than Jose Cabrera's Over earned runs prop.