A quiet revolution in home heating is struggling to take hold. The government’s Boiler Upgrade Scheme (BUS), launched with much fanfare in May 2022, has now passed a significant milestone, receiving over 100,000 applications. The programme had one of its strongest months on record in October 2025, with over 4,000 submissions. Applications for 2025 alone have already shattered the previous year’s total, suggesting a record-breaking year. At first glance, this surge in demand for grants of up to £7,500 appears promising. However, beneath this veneer of progress lies a much harsher reality: the market remains hopelessly adrift from the official target of 600,000 heat pump installations per year by 2028. Current installation rates hover around a mere 36,000 annually, a paltry 6% of the goal.
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