The U.S. P&C insurance industry registered its best first-quarter underwriting result in 2024 in over 15 years. After consistently weak sector results for near two years, the dog days are over. Strong premium gains and easing claims cost inflation contributed to a combined ratio of 94%. Higher investment yields provided an additional boost. Industry return on equity (ROE) was 14%, and we maintain our forecasts for full-year ROE of 9.5% in 2024 and 10.0% in 2025, with premium growth of 8.0% and 5.0% respectively. And we see risks to the upside. Personal lines remain the driver of growth and profitability improvements, and competition is returning to personal auto. Growth in commercial lines, including property, meanwhile, is slowing.
Annie George is a journalist who writes for ProgramBusiness.com, with her work also appearing in BMJ. She covers a wide range of topics in the insurance industry, including reinsurance, risk management, and emerging trends. Annie's articles provide insights and analysis for professionals in the field, helping them stay informed and navigate the evolving landscape of the insurance market.