Douglas E. Schoen

It is more likely that a truly pivotal October Surprise comes in the form of a foreign policy development that either drastically helps Biden, or considerably hurts him.

While Biden’s withdrawal may shake up the race, Trump’s lead in other metrics suggests it will still be an uphill climb for whoever the eventual Democratic nominee is.

Trump should center his attacks on the Biden administration’s record on key issues such as the economy, inflation, immigration and crime.

Vice President Harris needs to tell voters where she stands and how she will address the issues that will determine the election — inflation and the economy, immigration, crime and foreign policy.…

This is an extremely close race, and both Vice President Harris and Donald Trump have a credible path to victory.

Far from suggesting that Harris has this race “in the bag,” the data indicates that Trump may, in fact, be in a much stronger position than the topline, national numbers suggest.

Harris’s support in the polls has largely plateaued over the last two months, with no real shift in the race.

We really do not know, with any degree of precision, who is ahead and who is trailing in the presidential election.

Ultimately, with three weeks left before the election, the polls reflect one fundamental point: This race will be extremely close.