Nathaniel Rakich is a senior editor at FiveThirtyEight, specializing in politics and baseball. With a background in sabermetrics and social science, Nathaniel brings a unique perspective to his writing, analyzing political races and trends using data-driven analysis. His work has been featured in FiveThirtyEight as well as ABC Network News.
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Nathaniel Rakich focuses on data-driven analysis of American politics, particularly elections, public opinion, and political campaigns. He frequently cites data and delves into legal policy regulation.
To effectively reach out to Nathaniel with relevant pitches, consider providing him with access to exclusive or underreported datasets related to election results or polling that could support his analyses. Additionally, offering expert insights on legal and regulatory developments in the political sphere may attract his attention given his coverage attributes.
Given Nathaniel's national focus within the United States, ensure that any proposed topics for discussion align with this geographic scope.
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We clear up some confusion over ActiVote, a prolific pollster with unique methods.
It’s unclear how much, or whether, the presidential debate will shift the race, though early polls show Vice President Kamala Harris coming out on top.
By: Nathaniel Rakich
But it's unclear how much, or whether, it will shift the race.
Not all political polls are created equal. Here's 538's guide to interpreting them.
By: Nathaniel Rakich, Mary Radcliffe
538's first deep dive into polling and other data in the seven key swing states in the 2024 presidential election, plus a look at the Robinson-Stein governor's race.
NATHANIEL RAKICH · 4 min read On Tuesday night, Ohio Sen. JD Vance and Minnesota Gov.
By: Katie Marriner, Nathaniel Rakich
Campaign visits probably won't make a difference in the 2024 presidential election.
By: Nathaniel Rakich
Hurricanes Helene and Milton may not change many voters' minds, but they could dampen turnout in the hardest-hit areas.
Polling is more accurate in swing states, especially in the Sun Belt.
By: Cooper Burton, Nathaniel Rakich
Ballot measures to watch in the 2024 election related to abortion, voting, drugs, workers' rights, and more.
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