Puneet Wadhwa is a Senior Associate Editor for Rediff.com India Ltd. and Business Standard. With a focus on national news in India, Puneet covers topics related to the stock market, investment analysis, and the impact of political events on the economy. His articles provide insights and analysis for investors and market enthusiasts.
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India (National)
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'Higher interest rates make gold less attractive as it doesn't generate yield.' 'However, with rates set to fall, the tables are turning for gold.'
After a strong run in the midcap and smallcap indices, which surged 46 per cent and 43 per cent, respectively, on the National Stock Exchange (NSE) during Samvat 2080, analysts suggest that the rally in these segments may pause to catch its breath in Samvat 2081.
'Investors looking at the next 6-12 months can be certain that the Fed will maintain its easing cycle, and we expect the overall environment to be conducive for fixed income investments for portfolio diversification.'
The sharp pullback in mid and smallcap stocks signals a cooling-off period in segments that previously attracted considerable investor interest.
'On the weekly chart, the Nifty 50 index has formed a bearish candle and remains below all short-term moving averages.'
The Indian market remains an attractive place to do business for the nation's entrepreneurs, with 75 per cent of them operating domestically.
Analysts are warning of growing risks to the market's sustained momentum, and even to the possibility of consolidation at current levels.Domestically, markets are grappling with several challenges, including a slowing economy, as indicated by the latest GDP data for the July-September (Q2) quarter of 2024-25 (FY25), sticky inflation, fluctuations in the rupee, waning consumption, and high interest rates.
'To be able to sail through such volatilities, it is prudent to focus on quality.'
As regards mid-caps and small-caps, analysts suggest investors buy only those stocks of those companies where there is earnings visibility for at least a few quarters and where the valuations have become reasonable.
'Geopolitics will be the most important driver of financial markets in 2025.'
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